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May 2006
 
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Essentials of Strategic Planning: Setting the Stage for Sustainable Banking at the Speed of Sound 

Timely Wholesale Funding Strategies 2: Using Flipper Advances to Obtain Sub-LIBOR Funding

Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary


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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
 
Est. 2Q/3Q 2006 GDP % Change
Est. 2Q/3Q 2006 Unemployment Rate %
Est. Fed Funds Rate 6.30.06/12.31.06
Est. 10-Year Treasury 6.30.06/12.31.06
Next Release Date
5/25/2006
6/2/2006
-
-
Argus Research - R. Yamarone
3.40/2.80
4.70/4.70
4.70/4.70
4.70/4.70
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer
3.80/3.30
4.70/4.70
5.00/5.25
5.20/5.30
Barclays Capital - D. Maki
3.00/3.50
4.60/4.60
5.25/5.50
5.20/5.30
BNP Paribas - B. Fabbri
3.90/2.70
4.60/4.50
5.00/4.75
4.90/4.35
Cantor Fitzgerald - J. Herrmann
3.30/3.00
4.60/4.60
5.00/5.25
5.13/5.36
Conference Board - K. Goldstein
2.70/2.50
4.80/4.80
5.00/5.50
5.00/5.50
CSFB - N. Soss
3.70/3.40
4.70/4.70
5.00/5.00
5.25/5.35
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey
3.00/3.50
4.60/4.50
5.00/5.00
4.70/4.30
J.P. Morgan - B. Baldino
3.00/3.00
4.60/4.60
5.00/5.00
5.15/5.35
Lehman - E. Harris
3.80/3.20
4.60/4.50
5.25/5.50
5.25/5.40
MFR - J. Shapiro
3.80/3.20
4.70/4.60
5.00/5.50
5.35/5.95
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg
3.00/2.80
4.70/4.80
5.00/5.00
5.10/5.00
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner
3.10/3.30
4.70/4.70
5.00/5.50
5.15/5.40
Northern Trust - P. Kasriel
3.00/2.50
4.80/5.00
5.00/4.75
5.10/4.90
University of Michigan - J. Wolfe, S. Hymans
4.50/3.80
4.70/4.70
5.25/5.25
5.37/5.77
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg
3.50/3.00
4.60/4.70
5.00/5.50
5.00/5.40
Averages
3.20/3.09
4.67/4.66
5.06/5.23
5.15/5.27
Previous Month Averages
3.34/3.11
4.73/4.75
5.01/5.15
4.91/4.98
 
Monthly Estimates
 
Est. 4/06 Producer Price Index
Est. 4/06 Annualized Housing Starts (000)
Est. 4/06 Consumer Price Index
Est. 4/06 Leading Economic Indicators
Next Release Date
5/16/2006
5/16/2006
5/17/2006
5/17/2006
Argus Research
0.5
2,000
0.3
81.5
Bank of America
0.7

2,020

0.6
81.6
Cantor Fitzgerald
0.8
2,000
0.6
81.5
Credit Suisse
0.4
1,975
0.4
81.8
JP Morgan
0.4
1,920
0.4 
81.3
Lehman Brothers
0.5
1,900
0.4
81.2
Merrill Lynch
0.9
1,920
0.5
81.5
Morgan Keegan
1.3
1,935
0.8
n/a
Morgan Stanley
0.6
1,900
n/a
81.5
Averages
0.7
1,952
0.5
81.5

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