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July 2006
 
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Fighting Fire With Fire: Using "Returnable" Advances

Timely Wholesale Funding Strategies 3:Using Returnable Advances to Mitigate Prepayment Risk

Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary


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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
 
Est. 3Q/4Q 2006 GDP % Change
Est. 3Q/4Q 2006 Unemployment Rate %
Est. Fed Funds Rate 12.31.06/6.30.07
Est. 10-Year Treasury 12.31.06/6.30.07
Next Release Date
7/28/2006
8/4/2006
-
-
Argus Research - R. Yamarone
3.10/3.10
4.60/4.70
5.50/5.50
5.20/5.30
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer
3.10/2.90
4.80/4.80
5.75/5.75
5.50/5.70
Barclays Capital - D. Maki
3.50/3.00
4.50/4.40
6.00/5.75
5.50/5.30
BNP Paribas - B. Fabbri
3.10/2.50
4.70/4.80
5.00/4.70
4.60/4.55
Cantor Fitzgerald - J. Herrmann
n/a
n/a
5.00/5.75
4.85/4.91
Conference Board - K. Goldstein
2.40/2.20
4.70/4.80
n/a
4.75/4.25
CSFB - N. Soss
3.40/3.30
4.70/4.70
5.50/6.00
5.30/5.40
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey
3.50/2.50
4.50/4.60
5.25/4.50
4.75/4.50
Lehman - E. Harris
2.80/2.60
4.50/4.60
5.75/5.75
5.30/5.30
MFR - J. Shapiro
3.00/2.70
4.60/4.60
5.50/6.00
5.90/5.75
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg
2.80/2.50
5.25/4.50
5.25/4.50
5.00/4.70
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner
3.60/2.60
4.80/4.90
5.75/5.75
5.50/5.30
Wachovia - J. Silvia
2.70/2.80
4.70/4.70
5.25/5.25
5.40/5.50
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg
3.30/2.90
4.70/4.60
5.75/5.75
5.41/5.15
Averages
3.10/2.74
4.70/4.67
5.29/5.37
5.21/5.12
Previous Month Averages
3.00/n/a
4.67/n/a
5.37/n/a
5.24/n/a
 
Monthly Estimates
 
Est. 6/06 Capacity Utilization %
Est. 6/06 Producer Price Index
Est. 6/06 Consumer Price Index
Est. 6/06 Housing Starts (000)
Next Release Date
7/17/2006
7/18/2006
7/19/2006
7/19/2006
Argus Research
81.9
0.3
0.4
1,970
Bank of America
81.8

0.1

0.1
1,900
Cantor Fitzgerald
82.0
0.3
0.3
1,900
Credit Suisse
82.1
0.5
0.2
1,950
JP Morgan
81.8
0.3
0.2
1,880
Lehman Brothers
81.8
0.3
0.2
1,840
Merrill Lynch
81.9
0.0
0.2
1,920
Morgan Keegan
82.0
0.2
0.2
1,924
Morgan Stanley
82.3
0.3
0.2
1,850
Averages
82.0
0.3
0.2
1,904

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