Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle >> What Counts Newsletter

July 2006


	Fighting Fire With Fire: Using "Returnable" Advances

Timely Wholesale Funding Strategies 3:Using Returnable Advances to Mitigate Prepayment Risk


	Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
	Est. 3Q/4Q 2006 GDP % Change	Est. 3Q/4Q 2006 Unemployment Rate %	Est. Fed Funds Rate 12.31.06/6.30.07	Est. 10-Year Treasury 12.31.06/6.30.07
Next Release Date	7/28/2006	8/4/2006	-	-
Argus Research - R. Yamarone	3.10/3.10	4.60/4.70	5.50/5.50	5.20/5.30
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer	3.10/2.90	4.80/4.80	5.75/5.75	5.50/5.70
Barclays Capital - D. Maki	3.50/3.00	4.50/4.40	6.00/5.75	5.50/5.30
BNP Paribas - B. Fabbri	3.10/2.50	4.70/4.80	5.00/4.70	4.60/4.55
Cantor Fitzgerald - J. Herrmann	n/a	n/a	5.00/5.75	4.85/4.91
Conference Board - K. Goldstein	2.40/2.20	4.70/4.80	n/a	4.75/4.25
CSFB - N. Soss	3.40/3.30	4.70/4.70	5.50/6.00	5.30/5.40
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey	3.50/2.50	4.50/4.60	5.25/4.50	4.75/4.50
Lehman - E. Harris	2.80/2.60	4.50/4.60	5.75/5.75	5.30/5.30
MFR - J. Shapiro	3.00/2.70	4.60/4.60	5.50/6.00	5.90/5.75
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg	2.80/2.50	5.25/4.50	5.25/4.50	5.00/4.70
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner	3.60/2.60	4.80/4.90	5.75/5.75	5.50/5.30
Wachovia - J. Silvia	2.70/2.80	4.70/4.70	5.25/5.25	5.40/5.50
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg	3.30/2.90	4.70/4.60	5.75/5.75	5.41/5.15
Averages	3.10/2.74	4.70/4.67	5.29/5.37	5.21/5.12
Previous Month Averages	3.00/n/a	4.67/n/a	5.37/n/a	5.24/n/a

Monthly Estimates
	Est. 6/06 Capacity Utilization %	Est. 6/06 Producer Price Index	Est. 6/06 Consumer Price Index	Est. 6/06 Housing Starts (000)
Next Release Date	7/17/2006	7/18/2006	7/19/2006	7/19/2006
Argus Research	81.9	0.3	0.4	1,970
Bank of America	81.8	0.1	0.1	1,900
Cantor Fitzgerald	82.0	0.3	0.3	1,900
Credit Suisse	82.1	0.5	0.2	1,950
JP Morgan	81.8	0.3	0.2	1,880
Lehman Brothers	81.8	0.3	0.2	1,840
Merrill Lynch	81.9	0.0	0.2	1,920
Morgan Keegan	82.0	0.2	0.2	1,924
Morgan Stanley	82.3	0.3	0.2	1,850
Averages	82.0	0.3	0.2	1,904

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The Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle ("Seattle Bank") publishes What Counts for educational and promotional purposes only. The data and analysis presented are based upon information obtained from sources that we consider reliable. The opinions expressed represent the current opinions of our staff and are subject to change without notice. We make no warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information, analysis, or opinions presented. No part of this newsletter may be reproduced in any manner without the written permission of the Seattle Bank. The Seattle Bank, its employees, agents, and contractors are not registered investment advisors, financial advisors, or broker dealers, and they are not acting in a fiduciary capacity. The information contained in this newsletter does not constitute a recommendation, offer to sell, or solicitation of an offer to purchase any particular investments or products, including without limitation securities of any companies discussed, and it should not be construed as such. It is the reader’s responsibility to evaluate the suitability, risks, and merits of any investment, funding strategy, or business proposal presented in this newsletter.

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