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October 2006
 
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Know Thyself Revisited: Understanding Your Institutional Profile

Repo Programs vs. Wholesale Advances: Be Sure You�re Comparing Apples with Apples

Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary


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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
 
Ext. 3Q/4Q 2006 GDP % Change
Est. 3Q/4Q 2006 Unemployment Rate %
Est. Fed Funds Rate 12.31.06/6.30.07
Est. 10-Year Treasury 12.31.06/6.30.07
Next Release Date
10/27/2006
11/3/2006
-
-
ABN Amro - S. Ricchiuto
2.60/2.20
4.70/4.70
5.25/6.00
4.75/5.40
Argus Research - R. Yamarone
2.60/3.40
4.70/4.80
5.25/5.25
4.85/5.05
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer
2.80/2.90
4.70/4.90
5.25/5.25
4.90/5.00
Barclays Capital -
D. Maki
2.50/3.50
4.70/4.60
5.25/5.75
4.95/5.20
BNP Paribas - B. Fabbri
2.50/1.30
4.70/4.80
5.00/3.50
4.60/4.00
Citigroup - S. Weiting
1.50/2.70
4.80/5.00
5.25/5.00
4.75/4.70
Conference Board -
K. Goldstein
2.90/2.80
4.70/4.80
5.50/5.25
4.40/4.30
CSFB - N. Soss
2.00/2.50
4.70/4.80
5.25/5.25
4.45/4.45
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey
2.00/2.50
4.70/4.70
5.25/4.75
4.75/4.50
J.P. Morgan - H. Ahmed
2.00/3.50
4.70/4.60
5.25/6.00
5.00/5.65
Lehman -
E. Harris
2.00/3.00
4.80/4.70
5.25/5.50
4.90/5.10
MFR - J. Shapiro
2.60/2.30
4.70/4.60
5.25/5.00
4.30/3.75
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg
1.70/2.00
4.80/5.00
5.25/4.50
4.70/4.45
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner
2.50/3.30
4.70/4.70
5.25/5.50
4.90/5.25
Northern Trust - P. Kasriel
2.30/1.90
4.80/5.10
5.00/4.50
4.70/4.55
University of Michigan - S. Hymans, J. Wolfe
2.00/2.30
4.60/4.70
5.25/5.25
4.88/5.19
Wachovia -
J. Silvia
2.50/2.20
4.70/4.70
5.25/5.00
4.60/4.75
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg
2.90/3.10
4.70/4.80
5.25/5.00
4.80/4.70
Averages
2.33/2.63
4.72/4.78
5.24/5.13
4.73/4.78
Previous Month Averages
2.97/2.61
4.73/4.75
5.29/5.21
4.95/4.91
 
Monthly Estimates
 
Est. 9/06 Producer Price Index
Est. 9/06 Industrial Production
Est. 9/06 Consumer Price Index
Est. 9/06 Housing Starts (000)
Next Release Date
10/17/2006
10/17/2006
10/18/2006
10/18/2006
Argus Research
0.1
0.2
0.1
1,650
Bank of America
-0.6

-0.1

-0.2
1,640
Citigroup
-1.3
n/a
-0.5
1,650
Credit Suisse
-1.0
-0.3
-0.4
1,630
JP Morgan
-0.9
0.0
-0.2
1,630
Lehman Brothers
-0.7
0.4
-0.1
1,630
Morgan Keegan
-1.0
0.2
-0.6
1,697
Morgan Stanley
-0.7
0.2
-0.3
1,650
Averages
-0.8
0.1
-0.3
1,647

 


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