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November 2006
 
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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary


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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
 
Est. 4Q 2006/1Q 2007 2006 GDP % Change
Est. 4Q 2006/1Q 2007 Unemployment Rate %
Est. Fed Funds Rate 6.30.07/12.31.07
Est. 10-Year Treasury 6.30.07/12.31.07
Next Release Date
11/29/2006
12/8/2006
-
-
ABN Amro - S. Ricchiuto
2.20/3.00
4.60/4.70
5.75/6.00
5.70/6.00
Argus Research - R. Yamarone
3.70/3.10
4.50/4.60
5.50/5.50
5.00/5.25
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer
2.50/2.80
4.50/4.60
5.25/5.25
5.00/5.30
Barclays Capital -
D. Maki
3.00/3.50
4.50/4.50
5.75/6.00
5.20/5.15
Bear Stearns - D. Malpass, R. J. Ryding
2.70/3.20
4.50/4.50
5.75/5.75
5.10/5.40
CSFB - N. Soss
2.50/3.20
4.50/4.70
5.25/5.25
4.50/4.50
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey
2.50/2.50
4.70/4.80
4.75/4.00
4.50/4.75
Lehman -
E. Harris
3.20/2.50
4.70/4.70
5.50/n/a
5.10/n/a
MFR - J. Shapiro
2.10/2.60
4.60/4.60
5.00/4.75
3.75/4.50
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg
2.30/2.20
4.80/5.00
4.50/4.00
4.30/4.20
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner
3.00/3.40
4.50/4.70
5.25/5.50
5.00/5.15
University of Michigan - S. Hymans, J. Wolfe
1.80/2.90
4.60/4.60
5.25/5.25
5.22/5.40
Wachovia -
J. Silvia
1.40/1.40
4.50/4.70
5.00/5.00
4.85/5.30
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg
2.80/2.90
4.80/4.90
5.00/4.50
4.90/4.75
Averages
2.55/2.80
4.59/4.69
5.25/5.14
4.87/5.05
Previous Month Averages
2.63/n/a
4.78/n/a
5.13/n/a
4.78/n/a
 
Monthly Estimates
 
Est. 10/06 Consumer Price Index
Est. 10/06 Capacity Utilization Rate %
Est. 10/06 Housing Starts (000)
Est. 10/06 Leading Economic Indicators %
Next Release Date
11/16/2006
11/16/2006
11/17/2006
11/20/2006
Argus Research
-0.2
82.0
1,780
n/a
Bank of America
-0.2

82.0

1,760
0.1
Barclays Capital
-0.3
81.9
1,725
n/a
BNP
-0.3
81.8
1,680
n/a
Citigroup
-0.3
n/a
1,640
n/a
Credit Suisse
-0.3
81.9
1,620
0.3
JP Morgan
-0.4
81.6
1,700
0.3
Lehman Brothers
-0.3
81.9
1,675
0.4
Merrill Lynch
-0.3
82.1
1,700
0.2
MFR
-0.3
82.0
1,730
n/a
Morgan Keegan
-1.0
81.8
1,737
0.5
Morgan Stanley
-0.4
82.1
1,650
n/a
Wachovia
-0.3
n/a
1,720
n/a
Wells Fargo
-0.2
82.0
1,660
n/a
Averages
-0.3
81.9
1,689
0.3

 


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