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June 2007
 
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Measure Risk to Manage Risk

Chances Are, You're Originating Loans that Qualify for Low-Cost Funding, but Not Taking Advantage of the Opportunity!

Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary


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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
 
Est. 2Q / 3Q 2007 GDP % Change
Est. 2Q / 3Q 2007 Unemployment Rate %
Est. Fed Funds Rate 12.31.07/06.30.08
Est. 10-Year Treasury 12.31.07/06.30.08
Next Release Date
6/29/2007
7/6/2007
-
-
Argus Research - R. Yamarone
3.50/3.20
4.50/4.50
5.25/5.50
4.92/5.00
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer
2.80/2.70
4.50/4.60
5.00/5.00
4.70/4.60
Barclays Capital -
D. Maki
3.00/3.50
4.40/4.30
5.75/6.00
5.05/5.15
Bear Stearns - D. Malpass, R. J. Ryding
2.70/2.90
4.50/4.40
5.50/5.75
5.10/5.30
BNP Paribas - B. Fabbri
2.60/2.00
4.60/4.70
5.25/4.50
4.90/4.90
CSFB - N. Soss
2.20/2.80
4.60/4.70
5.25/5.25
4.65/4.35
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey
3.00/2.50
4.50/4.60
5.25/5.25
4.90/5.10
Lehman -
E. Harris
3.20/2.20
4.50/4.60
5.25/5.25
4.90/4.90
MFR - J. Shapiro
2.60/2.40
4.50/4.60
5.25/5.25
4.75/5.00
Morgan Keegan - D. Ratajczak
2.50/2.20
4.50/n/a
5.30/5.30
5.10/5.20
Wachovia - J. Silvia
3.50/2.80
4.50/4.50
5.25/5.50
5.00/5.20
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg
2.30/2.70
4.50/4.50
5.25/5.00
4.93/4.84
Averages
2.83/2.41
4.51/4.55
5.30/5.32
4.91/4.96
Previous Month Averages
2.39/2.45
4.57/4.66
5.13/5.09
4.73/4.86
 
Monthly Estimates
 
Est. 5/07 Consumer Price Index
Est. 5/07 Industrial Production
Est. 5/07 Housing Starts
Est. 5/07 Leading Economic Indicators
Next Release Date
6/15/2007
6/15/2007
6/19/2007
6/21/2007
Argus Research
0.3
0.2
1,590
0.4
Bank of America
0.2

0.3

1,470
0.5
BNP Paribas
0.2

0.2

n/a
n/a
Citigroup
0.2
0.1
n/a
n/a
Credit Suisse
0.2
0.3
1,478
0.3
Goldman Sachs
0.1
0.1
n/a
n/a
JP Morgan
0.2
0.1
1,500
0.2
Lehman Brothers
0.2
0.0
1,470
0.2
MFR
0.2
0.2
n/a
n/a
Morgan Keegan
0.2
0.3
1,489
-0.1
Morgan Stanley
0.3
-0.1
1,475
0.1
Averages
0.2
0.2
1,496
0.2

 


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