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Q4 2007
 
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Economic Value of Equity: The Essentials

Finding a Floor for a Safe Landing: A Case Study

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Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
Est. 1Q 2008/2Q 2008 GDP % Change Est. 1Q 2008/2Q 2008 Unemployment % Change Est. Fed Funds Rate 6.30.08/12.31.08 Est. 10-Year Treasury 6.30.08/12.31.08
Next Release Date 3/27/2008 4/4/2008 - -
Argus Research - R. Yamarone 1.40/1.80 4.90/4.90 2.00/2.00 3.75/3.85
Barclays Capital - D. Maki 0.00/1.00 4.90/5.20 2.00/2.00 n/a
Conference Board - K. Goldstein 0.90/1.90 4.90/5.20 2.75/2.75 3.40/3.40
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey -0.50/-1.00 4.90/5.40 2.00/2.00 3.50/3.60
Lehman Brothers - E. Harris -0.50/-1.00 5.10/5.40 1.75/1.75 3.60/3.70
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg -0.10/-.40 5.10/5.40 1.50/1.00 3.25/2.95
MFR - J. Shapiro 0.10/1.40 4.90/5.20 2.00/2.00 3.75/4.50
Morgan Keegan - D. Ratajczak -1.00/-1.40 5.00/n/a 1.96/1.74 3.35/3.67
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner -0.50/-1.10 5.00/5.30 1.75/1.75 4.10/4.40
Univeristy of Michigan - J. Wolfe -1.50/0.00 5.00/5.40 2.00/2.00 3.08/2.95
Wachovia - J. Silvia -0.20/-0.40 4.90/5.30 2.00/2.00 3.80/3.90
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg -0.30/-0.10 5.00/5.20 2.00/1.75 4.44/4.55
Averages -0.18/0.06 4.97/5.26 1.96/1.73 3.64/3.77
Previous Month's Averages 0.41/0.83 5.05/5.22 2.37/2.23 3.57/3.78
 
Monthly Estimates
Est. 2/08 Factory Orders % Est. 3/08 Non-farm Payroll Change Est. 3/08 Unemployment Rate %
Next Release Date 4/2/2008 4/4/2008 4/4/2008
Argus Research 1.5 65,000 4.7
Bank of America 0.5 -50,000 4.9
Citibank n/a -25,000 5
Credit Suisse n/a -75,000 5
JP Morgan 0.6 -40,000 4.9
Lehman 1 -25,000 5
Morgan Keegan -0.1 -68,000 5
Morgan Stanley n/a -50,000 5
Averages 0.7 -33,500 4.9
     

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