Back To FHLB Home Page
October 2005
 
Back To FHLB Home Page


The “Three R’s” of Preparing for Your Next ALM Exam or Audit


Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary


Resources
Events
Archive
Contacts

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
 
Est. 4Q/1Q 2005 GDP % Change
Est. 4Q/1Q 2005 Unemployment Rate %
Est. Fed Funds Rate 12.31.05/6.30.06
Est. 10-Year Treasury 12.31.05/6.30.06
Next Release Date
10/28/2005
11/4/2005
-
-
ABN Amro - S. Ricchiuto
2.8/3.8
5.1/4.9
4.25/4.50
4.60/4.60
Argus Research - R. Yamarone
2.7/3.1
4.9/4.7
4.25/4.75
4.50/4.95
Barclays Capital - D. Maki
4.0/3.5
4.9/4.8
4.25/4.75
4.50/4.55
Cantor Fitzgerald - J. Herrmann
3.1/3.2
5.2/5.1
4.25/4.75
4.37/4.70
Claymore Investments - B. Wesbury
5.0/4.3
4.9/4.8
4.25/5.00
5.00/5.90
Conference Board - K. Goldstein
1.1/2.1
5.3/5.3
4.00/4.00
4.40/4.50
CSFB - N. Soss
4.0/3.7
5.0/5.0
4.25/4.75
4.50/4.70
FTN Financial - C. Low
3.8/3.9
n/a
4.25/4.25
4.40/4.80
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey
2.5/3.5
5.0/4.9
4.25/5.00
4.40/5.00
J.P. Morgan - J. Nazareth
2.5/3.5
5.0/4.9
4.25/4.50
4.75/5.20
MFR - J. Shapiro
2.8/3.2
4.9/4.9
4.25/5.00
4.50/5.00
Northern Trust - P. Kasriel
2.6/3.5
5.1/5.1
4.25/4.50
4.45/4.50
Wells Capital Management - G. Schlossberg
2.2/3.2
5.1/5.2
4.00/4.75
4.50/4.70
Averages
3.0/3.4
5.0/5.0
4.21/4.65
4.53/4.85
Previous Month Averages
3.0/n/a
5.0/n/a
4.13/4.46
5.06/5.15
 
Monthly Estimates
 
Est. 10/05 University of Michigan Confidence Index
Est. 9/05 Producer Price Index
Est. 9/05 Housing Starts
Est. 9/05 Leading Indicators
Next Release Date
10/14/2005
10/18/2005
10/19/2005
10/21/2005
Banc America Securities
80.0
1.1
2,000
-0.4
Cantor Fitzgerald
78.7
1.1
1,940
-0.5
Claymore Investments
n/a
0.8
2,000
-0.2
CSFB
80.0
0.8
1,950
-0.3
JP Morgan
80.0
0.2
1,950
-0.2
Lehman Brothers
84.0
0.1
1,900
n/a
Merrill Lynch
78.0
2.8
1,980
-1.0
Morgan Stanley
n/a
1.6
1,900
-0.5
Morgan Keegan
n/a
1.3
1,891
-0.9
Averages
80.1
1.1
1,946
-0.5

  Printable Version
  E-mail this article



Newsletter content is for our readers' informational purposes only.
Please refer to our Terms of Use for details.