Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle >> What Counts Newsletter

March 2006


	Using the Yield Curve to Forecast Interest Rates

Obtaining Greater Balance Sheet Liquidity and Flexibility via the Seattle Bank’s Expanded Collateral Program


	Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Commentary

Resources
Events
Archive
Contacts

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates
	Est. 1Q/2Q 2006 GDP % Change	Est. 1Q/2Q 2006 Unemployment Rate %	Est. Fed Funds Rate 6.30.06/12.31.06	Est. 10-Year Treasury 6.30.06/12.31.06
Next Release Date	3/30/2006	4/7/2006	-	-
Argus Research - R. Yamarone	5.20/3.10	4.80/4.80	5.25/5.50	4.75/5.10
Bank of America - P. Kretzmer	4.60/3.90	4.80/4.80	4.75/4.75	4.70/4.90
Barclays Capital - D. Maki	4.50/3.00	4.90/4.70	4.75/4.75	4.50/4.90
Cantor Fitzgerald - J. Herrmann	5.00/3.40	4.70/4.70	5.25/5.25	4.90/4.90
Conference Board - K. Goldstein	3.50/2.60	4.80/4.90	4.75/4.75	4.60/4.40
CSFB - N. Soss	4.70/3.70	4.90/4.80	5.00/5.00	4.80/5.00
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey	4.50/4.00	4.70/4.60	5.00/5.00	4.70/4.30
Lehman Brothers - J. Abate	5.50/3.50	4.70/4.60	5.25/5.50	5.00/5.20
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg	4.30/2.50	4.80/4.90	4.75/4.25	4.40/4.00
MFR - J. Shapiro	5.10/2.40	4.80/4.80	5.00/5.00	4.90/5.25
Northern Trust - P. Kasriel	4.50/2.50	4.80/5.00	4.75/4.25	4.60/4.15
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg	4.90/3.50	4.80/4.70	5.00/5.00	4.80/5.20
Averages	4.69/3.18	4.79/4.78	4.96/4.96	4.72/4.78
Previous Month Averages	4.14/3.14	4.99/5.07	5.25/5.25	5.10/5.14

Monthly Estimates
	Est. 3/06 Michigan Consumer Confidence	Est. 2/06 Industrial Production	Est. 2/06 Leading Economic Indicators	Est. 2/06 Producer Price Index
Next Release Date	3/17/2006	3/17/2006	3/20/2006	3/21/2006
ABN Amro	85.0	n/a	n/a	n/a
BNP Paribas	86.0	1.2	n/a	n/a
Cantor Fitzgerald	88.3	0.7	-0.2	0.0
Citigroup	89.5	0.9	n/a	-0.8
Credit Suisse	88.0	n/a	-0.5	-0.9
Goldman Sachs	n/a	0.5	n/a	n/a
JP Morgan	88.0	0.7	0.8	0.0
Lehman Brothers	89.0	0.8	0.9	0.0
Merrill Lynch	88.0	0.8	-0.4	-0.4
Morgan Keegan	n/a	0.5	0.2	0.5
Morgan Stanley	n/a	0.7	n/a	n/a
Averages	87.7%	0.8	0.1	-0.2

Printable Version

E-mail this article

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER, PLEASE READ:
The Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle ("Seattle Bank") publishes What Counts for educational and promotional purposes only. The data and analysis presented are based upon information obtained from sources that we consider reliable. The opinions expressed represent the current opinions of our staff and are subject to change without notice. We make no warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information, analysis, or opinions presented. No part of this newsletter may be reproduced in any manner without the written permission of the Seattle Bank. The Seattle Bank, its employees, agents, and contractors are not registered investment advisors, financial advisors, or broker dealers, and they are not acting in a fiduciary capacity. The information contained in this newsletter does not constitute a recommendation, offer to sell, or solicitation of an offer to purchase any particular investments or products, including without limitation securities of any companies discussed, and it should not be construed as such. It is the reader’s responsibility to evaluate the suitability, risks, and merits of any investment, funding strategy, or business proposal presented in this newsletter.

Newsletter content is for our readers' informational purposes only.
Please refer to our Terms of Use for details.