Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle >> What Counts Newsletter

Q2 2008


	Strategic Intuition: The Key To Innovation

Those Who Stay Cool and Calm... Can Coll$ct! Balance Sheet Management Strategies for Turbulent Times


	Seattle Bank Yield Curve Optimal Points Analysis

Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

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Select Forecasts of Key Economic Statistics

Quarterly Estimates

	Est. 2Q 2008/ 3Q 2008 GDP % Change	Est. 2Q 2008/ 3Q 2008 Unemployment % Change	Est. Fed Funds Rate 12.31.08/6.30.09	Est. 10-Year Treasury 12.31.08/6.30.09
Next Release Date	6/26/2008	7/3/2008	-	-
Argus Research - R. Yamarone	1.40/2.00	5.10/5.10	2.25/2.75	4.20/4.25
Barclays Capital - D. Maki	1.00/3.50	5.30/5.40	2.00/2.75	4.30/4.60
BNP/Paribas	0.70/2.40	5.10/5.40	2.00/2.00	4.30/4.75
Conference Board - K. Goldstein	0.80/0.90	5.30/5.40	2.00/2.50	3.85/4.10
CSFB - N. Soss	1.30/0.80	5.20/5.40	2.00/2.00	n/a/n/a
FTN - C. Low	-0.60/-1.40	n/a/n/a	1.50/1.75	3.00/3.25
Goldman Sachs - E. McKelvey	0.00/2.00	5.40/5.50	2.00/2.00	3.90/3.70
Lehman - E. Harris	1.00/1.30	5.20/5.50	1.75/1.25	4.00/4.10
Merrill Lynch - D. Rosenberg	-0.20/-0.10	5.40/5.70	1.25/1.00
MFR - J. Shapiro	0.60/1.80	n/a/n/a	2.00/2.00	4.10/4.25
Morgan Stanley - R. Berner	-0.70/1.50	5.30/5.60	2.00/2.25	4.00/4.90
Northern Trust - P. Kasriel	-0.60/-0.10	5.30/5.60	2.00/2.00	3.55/3.60
UCLA Anderson - D. Shulman	-0.70/2.20	5.10/5.30	n/a	n/a/n/a
Wachovia - J. Silvia	0.60/1.20	5.10/5.40	2.00/2.50	3.90/4.30
Wells Fargo - G. Schlossberg	0.90/1.20	5.10/5.20	2.00/2.50	4.33/4.43
Averages	0.37/1.20	5.22/5.42	1.78/2.09	3.95/4.19
Previous Month's Averages	0.13/1.78	5.18/5.40	2.00/2.27	3.86/4.13

Monthly Estimates

	Est. 1Q 2008 PCE Core %	Est. 5/08 Personal Income	Est. 5/08 Personal Spending %	Est. 6/08 Univ. of Michigan Confidence
Next Release Date	6/27/2008	6/27/2008	6/27/2008	6/27/2008
Argus Research	n/a	0.7	0.6	58
Bank of America	0.2	0.3	0.7	n/a
Barclays Capital	0.2	1.9	0.6	56.5
BNP Paribas	n/a	0.2	0.8	n/a
Credit Suisse	0.2	1.5	0.6	56.5
JP Morgan	0.2	1.5	0.9	n/a
Lehman	0.2	1.9	0.7	56.5
Merrill Lynch	n/a	0.3	0.7	n/a
MFR	0.2	1.7	0.6	n/a
Morgan Stanley	n/a	0.3	0.4	n/a
Wachovia	0.2	0.4	0.7	n/a
Averages	0.2	1.0	0.7	56.9

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The Federal Home Loan Bank of Seattle ("Seattle Bank") publishes What Counts for educational and promotional purposes only. The data and analysis presented are based upon information obtained from sources that we consider reliable. The opinions expressed represent the current opinions of our staff and are subject to change without notice. We make no warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information, analysis, or opinions presented. No part of this newsletter may be reproduced in any manner without the written permission of the Seattle Bank. The Seattle Bank, its employees, agents, and contractors are not registered investment advisors, financial advisors, or broker dealers, and they are not acting in a fiduciary capacity. The information contained in this newsletter does not constitute a recommendation, offer to sell, or solicitation of an offer to purchase any particular investments or products, including without limitation securities of any companies discussed, and it should not be construed as such. It is the reader’s responsibility to evaluate the suitability, risks, and merits of any investment, funding strategy, or business proposal presented in this newsletter.

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